The estimates and hot spots from last time appear to reflect the situation well, and it looks like India is past peak in deaths now. The table below is updated.
But here is the most important piece of info. Bhramar Mukherjee (Chair of Biostats @ UMich), a leading expert on the Indian COVID picture just released a preprint:
https://twitter.com/BhramarBioStat/status/1398413410719707138
Of course, many assumptions are made, and it is based on serosurveys, but this is about as good as it can get. Her estimate is that deaths are under-reported by a factor of 4.5 and cases are under-reported by a factor of 15. That puts the deaths / Million at 1037, inching closer and closer to the US/UK/EU numbers. The peak in deaths might be of the same order. Again, all said and done, the India numbers might end up similar to US/UK/EU (factored by population).
Country Cases/100k | Deaths/100k | Total deaths| 2nd/1st peak| 2nd/1st peak
(Daily Peak)| (Daily Peak) | per Million | ratio cases | ratio deaths
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
India 28** 0.3** 233** 4.3** 3.6**
US. 75 1.04 1800* 7.9 1.6
UK 89 1.86 1913* 11.9 1.3
Brazil 36 1.47 2164* 1.7 3.0
EU 49 0.8 1617* 7.6 1.2
1918 Pandemic 4.8
